Historical Background

OLD

• Single (Soviet)

• Survival at Stake

• Known

• Deterrable

• Strategic Use of Nukes

• Overt

• Europe-Centered

• High Risk of Escalation

NEW

• Diverse

• American Interest at Stake

• Unknown

• Non-Deterrable

• Terrorist Use of WMDs

• Covert

• Regional, Ill-Defined

• Little Risk of Escalation

The Changing Threat

GSA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE

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